Probability of Bitcoin Rising to $100,000 Before Christmas Drops to 9.7%
The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, with analysts remaining bullish, but speculative markets shifting towards defense, putting pressure on risk appetite. Bitcoin briefly fell below $80,000 for the first time in nearly a month. The sell-off in the U.S. stock market's AI sector has weighed on risk assets, further dampening bullish sentiment in the crypto market. Jeff Anderson, head of STS Digital in the U.S., stated that inflation data will severely impact risk appetite, and the market is entering a quiet period ahead of the Federal Reserve's meeting, with interest rate expectations still uncertain. Nick Forster, founder of Derive.xyz, pointed out that in the past 24 hours, the market has priced the probability of Bitcoin rising to $100,000 before Christmas down by 2.8 percentage points to 9.7%; long-term bullish bets are quickly retreating, while short-term hedging demand is surging, as institutions reassess macro risk exposure amid the renewed uncertainty over interest rate prospects.
-- Price
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SK Hynix Revenue Tops 104 Trillion Won,BTC Holds Near $80,000 | WEEX TradFi Daily (October 28, 2026)
All three major equity indexes closed higher on October 27, led by the Nasdaq. SK Hynix reported third-quarter revenue of 104.6 trillion won and operating profit of 83.3 trillion won, and announced a large-scale shareholder return program. Boeing shares fell about 10.7% after the company lowered delivery targets, hitting an 18-month low. Bitcoin was near $80,200. Meme and Robinhood ecosystem coins strengthened. The October 28 focus is the Federal Reserve decision and after-hours earnings from Google, Microsoft and others.








